Alexander Bublik appears to have the edge in this matchup. He is currently ranked higher at world No. 32 compared to Van De Zandschulp at No. 67. Bublik has had a stronger season with a 24-23 win-loss record, including one title, while Van De Zandschulp has struggled with a 15-24 record. Bublik's aggressive playing style and better recent form make him the favorite on the indoor hard courts of Basel.
Both Shapovalov and Shang have shown the ability to hold serve consistently. Shapovalov's serving statistics (76% first serve points won, 48% second serve points won) indicate his strength in service games. Combined with the likelihood of extended rallies and the possibility of tiebreaks, this match has a high potential to exceed 22.5 total games.
Lorenzo Musetti appears to be the stronger contender for this match. He is currently ranked 17th in the world, significantly higher than Sonego's 49th position. Musetti has had a more successful 2024 season with a 38-25 win-loss record compared to Sonego's 19-26. Additionally, Musetti has shown better recent form with a 0.75 recent performance rating compared to Sonego's 0.7. Musetti's higher ranking and better season performance suggest he has the edge in this matchup.
Alex De Minaur appears to be the favorite in this matchup. He is currently ranked 10th in the world, significantly higher than Struff's 40th ranking.
De Minaur has had a strong 2024 season with a 41-14 win-loss record, including titles in Acapulco and 's-Hertogenbosch.
His recent form has been impressive, with consistent performances against top players. While Struff is a capable player, especially indoors, De Minaur's speed, consistency, and improved offensive game give him an edge in this matchup.
Marie Bouzkova, ranked 47th, came into this match with a significant edge in experience and recent form compared to the 88th-ranked Suzan Lamens. Furthermore, our web-scraped data showed Bouzkova had a strong record against players ranked outside the top 80 this season. Lamens, while talented, had struggled against higher-ranked opponents, winning only 2 of her last 10 matches against top 50 players
Shelton has a 2-0 head-to-head record against Etcheverry, including a recent win at Cincinnati in August 2024. Shelton is ranked higher (17 vs 35) and has a better win-loss record this season (37-23 vs 28-25). He's also in better recent form, winning 4 of his last 5 matches compared to Etcheverry's 2 wins in 5. Shelton's powerful serve and aggressive style should give him an edge on the indoor hard courts in Basel. While Etcheverry is a solid player, Shelton's momentum and previous success against him make him the favorite.